IASPS
Quarterly Report Spring 2001
IASPS Conference:
The Water Crisis and a Regional Alliance
Koret Fellows Month in Washington
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The Director's ColumnBy Dr. Alvin Rabushka
Director, Division for Economic Policy Research
Midsummer Night's Dream
Last night, I
dreamt about Moses, that he returned to earth. He did not go to Egypt to tell
the pharaoh to "let my people go." No. Instead, he appeared in Washington, D.C.
Dressed in a flowing robe and carrying a staff, accompanied by his faithful
companion Aaron, he walked into the halls of Congress and the White House. He
told U.S. government officials that "free money" was keeping his people in
bondage to state socialism. He pleaded with the U.S. government to end its
foreign aid program in order to "let my people go."
The Americans listened. Moses and President Bush, flanked
by Congressional leaders of both parties, held a press conference on the White
House lawn to announce the change in U.S. policy. Immediately, Israel's prime
minister, finance minister, and every other minister canceled travel plans to
Washington, D.C., where they had planned to ask for new chunks of free money.
Changed financial circumstances forced them to contemplate self-support. But
where would they find billions oof dollars to replace the lost aid?
Nice
— and Easy
Actually, it turned out to be rather easy and
straightforward. Israel's politicians moved quickly to sell state-owned land.
They privatized state-owned water, electricity, telecommunications,
transportation, railroad, harbor, military, and all other public corporations in
which the government held shares. They eliminated trade barriers. They cut
marginal tax rates in half. They eliminated subsidies to politically favored
firms. They fired striking public employees. They slashed the bureaucracy. They
rationalized reserve duty. They reinstated the Free Processing Zones Law. In
short, they denationalized, demonopolized, decartelized, and deregulated.
Decades of free-market talk finally materialized.
Suddenly the Israeli people were free. But not everyone
was happy. My dream was a nightmare for Israel's nomenklatura. The politicians,
bureaucrats, media, intellectuals, managers of state firms, and unions lost
power.
I awoke to find Israel in a real nightmare, its worst
crisis since the 1973 war. This is not a crisis of violence, as you might think.
It is something more basic. Simply put, the country is running out of fresh
water. In the desert, water is everything. The government of Israel has so badly
mismanaged its water resources that a land of farms, lawns, and trees -- a land
of milk and honey -- may revert to desert. All of Israel may soon look like
David Ben-Gurion's beloved Negev desert.
Below
the Red Line
Israel has countless state agencies and committees. One,
the Water Management Committee, is supposed to be responsible for safeguarding
the country's water resources and insuring supplies of fresh water. The
committee consists of "experts" from the State Hydrological Service and the
state-owned Mekorot water company. It has, of late, repeatedly warned of
imminent catastrophe. State control wasted and misallocated large portions of
Israel's water supply since the country's founding. Now, adding to government
mismanagement, three consecutive winters of drought have lowered Israel's three
main sources of fresh water, the Coast and Mountain aquifers and the Sea of
Galilee, below their respective red lines. Red lines were established to insure
that seepage of salinity into fresh water does not cause irreversible damage to
water quality.
A
Drop in the Bucket
To be sure, the United States has its own water problems.
However, per capita water consumption in California, a state with severe water
problems, is 10 times that in Israel -- and this is before Israel's agreements
to supply water to Jordan and the Palestinians. Nor does it take into account
what might happen to a third of Israel's water supply, the Sea of Galilee, if
Israel signs a peace agreement with Syria. Barring record rainfall next winter,
there is a risk that Israel will soon run out of reasonably priced fresh water,
unless the government dramatically overhauls the entire water production and
distribution systems. Unfortunately, prospects of serious overhaul, that is,
letting private firms and market forces take over the production and
distribution of water from the government, are not encouraging.
The socialist system that produced Israel's water disaster
is ill equipped to correct it. The government is considering buying water from
Turkey, but the finance minister and his ministerial colleagues first want to
determine if desalinization is a better option, hoping the Turks will give them
a better price. The government has asked firms to submit bids to construct
Israel's first national desalinization plant at Ashdod, which would be capable
of producing 50 million cubic meters of fresh water annually. The project is
expected to cost taxpayers $150 million. The likelihood is that the state-owned
water monopoly, Mekorot, will be given preference. Murphy's Law will frustrate
this limited effort. It will cost more than $150 million, it will not be
completed on schedule, and the quantity of fresh water will not meet stated
goals.
But suppose the desalinization plant were to come on line
tomorrow. How much is 50 million cubic meters of water? For purposes of
comparison, the Water Management Committee is urging an immediate further cut of
250 million cubic meters of water this year, on top of previous cuts. In normal
years, the Sea of Galilee ordinarily supplies 420 million cubic meters of water.
This year, any water pumped in excess of 87 million cubic meters will cause the
level of the lake to drop under the "new red line," which has been lowered
beneath the "old red line" to permit pumping in excess of previously
established safe levels. The government of Israel is playing with fire with
water.
Where
Have All the Flowers Gone?
New Water Management Committee recommendations include
total bans on watering private lawns and the establishment of new municipal
parks or gardens, the introduction of water quotas to local government
authorities (which will brown out local parks and gardens), further cuts to
industry (semiconductor manufacturing requires a steady supply of clean water),
and drastic further cuts to farmers (which have already been cut 50 percent). To
add insult to injury, farmers want taxpayers to compensate them for the water
they aren't getting, which they previously received at subsidized rates.
IASPS feels like the boy who cried wolf. We have published
several papers on Israel's water crisis and how to resolve it. We have written
more NBNs and op-eds on water than on any other topic. We regret to report that
the government has yet to bite the bullet and proceed on a path of real reform.
It was, after all, only a
midsummer night's dream.

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